Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finalsDate: 4 October 2025, Saturday
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
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Matteo Arnaldi |
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- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66.2% | Matteo Arnaldi
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-4.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 20. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 73.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Davidovich Fokina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Davidovich Fokina is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.97%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Delray Beach | | | 15.02.25 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi | 2:0 | | ATP Dallas | | | 06.02.25 | Matteo Arnaldi - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2:0 | | ATP Montreal | | | 10.08.24 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina A. retired |
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