Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)


	Pedro Cachin		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
			Watch
	2.74	1.51
	2.74	1.52
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.13)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Cachin
35.2%

Francis Tiafoe
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Cachin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Cachin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Cachin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	0%	59.1%

Pedro Cachin - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cachin will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cachin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Cachin
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Pedro Cachin - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Harold Mayot - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Marton Fucsovics - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Pedro Cachin - Denis Yevseyev	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Pedro Cachin - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLL?L
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Houston
07.04.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Jordan Thompson - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	James Duckworth - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Pedro Cachin - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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