Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: No. 2 Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.13	6.00	Watch
	1.13	5.75
	1.14	5.60
	1.15	6.76
	1.20	4.32	Watch
	1.13	6.30
	1.14	6.95	Watch
	1.14	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 (1.15)	5.99 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
83.9%

Jan Choinski
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Francis Tiafoe - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 19. Choinski is ranked ATP: 100.

Tiafoe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Choinski has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tiafoe is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Terence Atmane	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ethan Quinn	Canceled
ATP Halle
21.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 W?WWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Vit Kopriva - Jan Choinski	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.26	Jan Choinski - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Felix Gill - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
22.06.26	Jan Choinski - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLW?W

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