Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eastbourne 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Jan Choinski		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.80	1.42
	2.70	1.47	Watch
	3.01	1.45
	2.82	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.89	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.74)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
33.4%

Alexei Popyrin
66.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jan Choinski - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Popyrin will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 106. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 90.

Choinski is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Popyrin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Popyrin is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.26	Marcos Giron - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Jan Choinski - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Alexei Popyrin - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Zachary Svajda	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.08.17	Alexei Popyrin - Jan Choinski	0:2

Jan Choinski - Alexei Popyrin