Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Tourte A. (Fra)


	Francisco Cerundolo		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.37
	1.65	2.37
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.51)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
57.3%

Daniel Altmaier
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	0%	16%

Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Altmaier is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Houston
03.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Ben Shelton - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWL?
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Daniel Altmaier - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Daniel Altmaier - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
19.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Altmaier	2:1
ATP Challenger
26.08.19	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Altmaier	0:2

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