Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Location: Court Simonne-Mathieu (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	DR TV
France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Kanal 5
Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2
World	Eurosport 3, Eurosport 4, Max


	Francisco Cerundolo		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.62	2.3
	1.72	2.1
	1.64	2.28
	1.75	2.17
	1.73	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.64	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
56.9%

Ugo Humbert
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Francisco Cerundolo - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Humbert will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Humbert is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Cerundolo to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
27.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
24.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Fabian Marozsan - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
18.07.24	Gustavo Heide - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ugo Humbert	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ugo Humbert	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

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