Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.7	2.31
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.7	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.51)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
55.9%

Sebastian Baez
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	0%	14.8%

Zhizhen Zhang - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Zhizhen Zhang will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zhizhen Zhang will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 370. Baez is ranked ATP: 41.

Baez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zhang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Terence Atmane - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWL?
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Sebastian Baez - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2

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