Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Francisco Comesana		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.50
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.72
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.29	3.65	Watch
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.29	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	3.46 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
72.8%

Daniel Rincon
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Comesana's performance.

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Rincon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Comesana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Rincon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francisco Comesana - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rincon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Rincon (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 91. Rincon is ranked ATP: 261.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Comesana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Comesana is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Francisco Comesana - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Francisco Comesana - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Francisco Comesana - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.26	Matteo Berrettini - Francisco Comesana	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Jacopo Vasami	Vasami J. Retired ✺
ATP Mallorca
20.06.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Daniel Rincon	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W??LW

Francisco Comesana - Daniel Rincon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide