Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Mili Poljicak		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.98	1.41
	2.86	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	2.33	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.33)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
33.1%

Guy Den Ouden
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mili Poljicak's form might have worsened.

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mili Poljicak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Den Ouden (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guy Den Ouden will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 279. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 157.

Recent form of Poljicak has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Den Ouden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poljicak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Den Ouden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Guy Den Ouden - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Richard Berankis - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide