Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Franco Roncadelli		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.38
	2.89	1.42
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.7)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
33.1%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Roncadelli (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 333. Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 633.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moreno De Alboran is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Ryan Augusto Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWWL
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Franco Ribero - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Victor Braga - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLWLL

Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide