Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Valerio Aboian		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	2.68	1.51
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.69)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
35%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Valerio Aboian - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 464. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 211.

Aboian is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Reis Da Silva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Bruno Fernandez - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Agustin Libre - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWW
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

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