Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Hernan Casanova		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.89	2.07
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
53.4%

Franco Roncadelli
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hernan Casanova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Franco Roncadelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hernan Casanova - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Casanova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 420. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 274.

Now, both players are in good form.

Roncadelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casanova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hernan Casanova - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Hernan Casanova - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Hernan Casanova	1:2
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Franco Roncadelli - Hernan Casanova	0:2

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