Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.66
	2.15	1.6
	2.28	1.65
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.34	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.03)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
42.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ferreira Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferreira Silva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
05.10.22	Raul Brancaccio - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
03.10.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
26.09.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
20.09.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Jerzy Janowicz - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
06.10.22	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
04.10.22	Ulises Blanch - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
22.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
20.09.22	Sandro Kopp - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.01.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0

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