Match Info

Date: 22 September 2022, Thursday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.83	1.95
	1.75	1.92
	1.77	2.07
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.78	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)	1.95 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
52.3%

Marco Cecchinato
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Matteo Arnaldi - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cecchinato: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cecchinato is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cecchinato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Sandro Kopp - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
14.09.22	Carlos Taberner - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
12.09.22	Andrea Vavassori - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	Arnaldi M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWW?
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
14.09.22	Marco Cecchinato - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
12.09.22	Marco Cecchinato - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Elmar Ejupovic - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	Marco Cecchinato - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

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