Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.4	1.32
	2.9	1.34
	3.31	1.35
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
31.2%

Corentin Moutet
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	0%	82.8%

Matteo Arnaldi - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moutet to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
14.09.22	Carlos Taberner - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
12.09.22	Andrea Vavassori - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	Arnaldi M. retired ✺
02.09.22	Nerman Fatic - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
31.08.22	Giovanni Oradini - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WW?WW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Challenger
14.09.22	Gianluca Mager - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.22	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	1:3 ✺
02.09.22	Pedro Cachin - Corentin Moutet	1:3 ✺
31.08.22	Corentin Moutet - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

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