Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Gabriel Diallo		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.26	3.67	Watch
	1.3	3.84
	1.27	3.78	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.29	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	3.75 ↑ (3.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
74.5%

Damir Dzumhur
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Gabriel Diallo - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Dzumhur (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Damir Dzumhur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 33. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 56.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Diallo is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Nishesh Basavareddy	Diallo G. walkover ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LWL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
25.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Gabriel Diallo - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide