Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 12, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Gabriel Ghetu		Marc Van Der Merwe

	1	2
	1.37	2.81	Watch
	1.36	2.81	Watch
	1.27	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)	2.97 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Ghetu
69%

Marc Van Der Merwe
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Ghetu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriel Ghetu's performance.

Marc Van Der Merwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Van Der Merwe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Ghetu than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Ghetu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Van Der Merwe than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Van Der Merwe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriel Ghetu - Marc Van Der Merwe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghetu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghetu is ranked ATP: 794. Van Der Merwe is ranked ATP: 991.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Van Der Merwe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ghetu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Ghetu
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Michel Hopp - Gabriel Ghetu	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Luca Staeheli - Gabriel Ghetu	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Giulio Perego - Gabriel Ghetu	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Marcelo Arevalo - Gabriel Ghetu	Canceled ✺
14.09.25	Cesar Cruz - Gabriel Ghetu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWW?W
- Marc Van Der Merwe
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Menelaos Efstathiou - Marc Van Der Merwe	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Jonas Pelle Hartenstein	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Victor Ryden - Marc Van Der Merwe	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Marlon Vankan - Marc Van Der Merwe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW

Gabriel Ghetu - Marc Van Der Merwe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide