Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Marlon Vankan		Marc Van Der Merwe

	1	2
			Watch
	1.39	2.70	Watch
	1.19	4.32	Watch
	1.18	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.39)	3.74 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlon Vankan
74.9%

Marc Van Der Merwe
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marlon Vankan's performance.

Marc Van Der Merwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Van Der Merwe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marlon Vankan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Van Der Merwe than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Van Der Merwe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marlon Vankan - Marc Van Der Merwe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vankan is ranked ATP: 823. Van Der Merwe is ranked ATP: 1085.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vankan might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Marlon Vankan - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Marlon Vankan - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Claude Ishimwe - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Felix Gill - Marlon Vankan	Vankan M. retired ✺
18.09.25	Marlon Vankan - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLW?W
- Marc Van Der Merwe
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Caheer Warik - Marc Van Der Merwe	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Lawrence Bataljin	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Yassine Dlimi	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Taha Baadi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLW?L

Marlon Vankan - Marc Van Der Merwe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide