Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Genova 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gabriele Maria Noce		Lorenzo Rottoli

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.70	1.41
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Maria Noce
35.2%

Lorenzo Rottoli
64.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Maria Noce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Maria Noce than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Maria Noce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Rottoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriele Maria Noce - Lorenzo Rottoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noce is ranked ATP: 773., and Rottoli is ranked ATP: 812..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Rottoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Maria Noce
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Maximo Zeitune - Gabriele Maria Noce	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Niccolo Ciavarella - Gabriele Maria Noce	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	John Sperle - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Heorhii Shylov - Gabriele Maria Noce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWLW
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Matthew Donald - Lorenzo Rottoli	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
14.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Johan Nikles - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?LLWL

Gabriele Maria Noce - Lorenzo Rottoli

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Gabriele Maria Noce - Lorenzo Rottoli Predictions

Preview

Form

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