Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Maik Steiner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.27	3.45	Watch
	1.26	3.64
	1.3	3.36
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.27	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.54)	3.48 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
73.1%

Maik Steiner
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriele Pennaforti's performance.

Maik Steiner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maik Steiner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Pennaforti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maik Steiner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gabriele Pennaforti - Maik Steiner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 433. Steiner is ranked ATP: 693.

Recent matches Pennaforti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Steiner is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Steiner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pennaforti is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pennaforti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Thijmen Loof	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Maik Steiner
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Maik Steiner - Alafia Ayeni	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Andrej Martin - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.02.25	Maik Steiner - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Gabriele Pennaforti - Maik Steiner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide