Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Manuel Mazza

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
			Watch
	1.98	1.8
			Watch
	1.73	2
	1.88	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
50.1%

Manuel Mazza
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Manuel Mazza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 402. Mazza is ranked ATP: 677.

Pennaforti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mazza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pennaforti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pennaforti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriele Pennaforti - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.74%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Matteo Mesaglio	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Nicola Rispoli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Lucio Ratti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Giorgio Tabacco - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Rafael Tosetto - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.03.23	Gabriele Pennaforti - Manuel Mazza	0:2

Gabriele Pennaforti - Manuel Mazza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide