Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TORONTO (CANADA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Gael Monfils		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.32
	1.61	2.31
	1.63	2.4
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.36	Watch
	1.61	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	2.34 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
59.3%

Aleksandar Vukic
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gael Monfils's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gael Monfils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Gael Monfils - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Gael Monfils will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monfils is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vukic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monfils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Monfils will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Gael Monfils - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
04.08.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Gael Monfils - Bjorn Fratangelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Sebastian Korda - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
08.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL

Gael Monfils - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide