Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Gael Monfils		Ben Shelton

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
41%

Ben Shelton
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Gael Monfils - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 41 - 73.2%). Shelton will win (votes: 15 - 26.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 61.6% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 41. Shelton is ranked ATP: 20.

Monfils in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Shelton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shelton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shelton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.89%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Gael Monfils	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Daniel Altmaier - Gael Monfils	0:3 ✺
13.01.25	Gael Monfils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
10.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Gael Monfils - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Australian Open
18.01.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Ben Shelton - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.24	Ben Shelton - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

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