Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TORONTO (CANADA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Gael Monfils		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.95	1.26
	4	1.25
	4.41	1.25
	4	1.25
	3.96	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (2.94)	1.25 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
23.2%

Jannik Sinner
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gael Monfils's form might have worsened.

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jannik Sinner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gael Monfils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jannik Sinner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Gael Monfils - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: Jannik Sinner will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monfils is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sinner is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sinner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sinner is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Monfils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Gael Monfils - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Gael Monfils - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
04.08.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Andy Murray - Jannik Sinner	Sinner J. walkover ✺
09.08.23	Matteo Berrettini - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
14.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
11.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Elahi Galan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sofia
03.10.21	Jannik Sinner - Gael Monfils	2:0
ATP US Open
04.09.21	Gael Monfils - Jannik Sinner	2:3
ATP Vienna
24.10.19	Jannik Sinner - Gael Monfils	0:2
ATP Antwerp
17.10.19	Gael Monfils - Jannik Sinner	0:2

Gael Monfils - Jannik Sinner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide