Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Gastao Elias		Martin Landaluce

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.36	1.61
	2.40	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.17)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
39.3%

Martin Landaluce
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Landaluce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gastao Elias - Martin Landaluce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elias (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 318. Landaluce is ranked ATP: 134.

Elias is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Landaluce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Landaluce might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Landaluce - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Laurent Lokoli - Gastao Elias	Elias G. walkover ✺
25.07.25	Gastao Elias - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Gastao Elias - Ignasi Forcano	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Gastao Elias - Tiago Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?WWW
- Martin Landaluce
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.25	Martin Landaluce - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Martin Landaluce - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Alex Bolt - Martin Landaluce	3:0 ✺
25.06.25	Ryan Peniston - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

Gastao Elias - Martin Landaluce: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide