Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Alex Bolt		Martin Landaluce

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.1
			Watch
	1.75	2.12
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.71	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.01)	2.12 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
55.6%

Martin Landaluce
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.

Martin Landaluce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Landaluce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Bolt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Landaluce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alex Bolt - Martin Landaluce Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Landaluce will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolt: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 Games - Bolt (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Bolt will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Landaluce (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 181. Landaluce is ranked ATP: 140.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Alex Bolt - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Alex Bolt - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Alex Bolt - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Martin Landaluce
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Ryan Peniston - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
19.06.25	Martin Landaluce - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Adrian Mannarino - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

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