Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Gastao Elias		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.6	2.38
	1.61	2.38
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
58.3%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Gastao Elias - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sanchez Izquierdo will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elias: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Elias is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sanchez Izquierdo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Mark Lajal - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
25.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Gastao Elias - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Gastao Elias - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Matthew Christopher Romios	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Mathias Bourgue - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Adria Soriano Barrera	Sanchez Izquierdo N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gastao Elias	1:2
16.12.21	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gastao Elias	2:1

Gastao Elias - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide