Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Gastao Elias		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.48	1.58
	2.48	1.58
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.26	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.85)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
40.8%

Valentin Royer
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Royer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Royer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Gastao Elias - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Royer will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Elias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Royer to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
10.01.24	Gastao Elias - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Cem Ilkel - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Gastao Elias - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Egor Gerasimov - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Gastao Elias - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
10.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
08.01.24	Valentin Royer - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Valentin Royer - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
05.01.24	Valentin Royer - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
03.01.24	Valentin Royer - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Gastao Elias - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide