Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday


	Gauthier Onclin		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
43.7%

Andrea Pellegrino
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gauthier Onclin's form might have worsened.

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Pellegrino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Gauthier Onclin - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 211. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 263.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Philip Henning - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Gauthier Onclin - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Gauthier Onclin - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Gauthier Onclin - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide