Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gauthier Onclin		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.91	1.95
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
50.3%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Onclin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 221. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWL?
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Iliyan Radulov - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLW

Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar