Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Genaro Alberto Olivieri		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.78	1.48
	2.79	1.40	Watch
			Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
34.1%

Vilius Gaubas
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Olivieri will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olivieri: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genaro Alberto Olivieri will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Olivieri is ranked ATP: 259. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 160.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
27.08.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 W?LW?
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Vilius Gaubas - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Vilius Gaubas - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

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