Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Vilius Gaubas		Martin Krumich

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.26	3.55	Watch
	1.26	4
	1.25	3.69	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.2	4.26	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	3.76 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
75.1%

Martin Krumich
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Martin Krumich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Krumich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Vilius Gaubas - Martin Krumich Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Krumich will win (votes: 30 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krumich: 81.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Krumich (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Krumich (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Martin Krumich will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Krumich (votes: 28 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Krumich is ranked ATP: 500.

Gaubas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Krumich is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaubas is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Vilius Gaubas - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Olle Wallin - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Martin Krumich
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Martin Krumich - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Alex Molcan - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Federico Coria - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Martin Krumich - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches