Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Eduardo Ribeiro

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.5	2.73
	1.43	2.61	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	2.6 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
64%

Eduardo Ribeiro
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eduardo Ribeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eduardo Ribeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Eduardo Ribeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cadenasso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ribeiro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 300. Ribeiro is ranked ATP: 359.

Cadenasso is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ribeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ribeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cadenasso might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Gianluca Cadenasso - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Jaime Faria - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWWW

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