Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.18
	1.61	2.42
	2.28	1.57	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
55.1%

Gianluca Cadenasso
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cadenasso will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cadenasso: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cadenasso (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 298.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guillen Meza could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Stefan Palosi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide