Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.52
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.09)	2.36 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
60.4%

Lautaro Midon
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lautaro Midon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lautaro Midon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cadenasso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Midon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 300. Midon is ranked ATP: 225.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Midon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

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