Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.72	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.75)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
35.7%

Thiago Monteiro
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Cadenasso (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cadenasso (votes: 1 - 50%). Monteiro (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 298. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monteiro is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Monteiro - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Jaime Faria - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWL

Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide