Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Gianluca Mager		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.73	1.95
	1.76	1.99
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.51)	1.95 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
52.8%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Mager's form might have worsened.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mager is ranked ATP: 254. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418.

Mager is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ovcharenko is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ovcharenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mager will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mager won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ITF Tournaments
08.10.24	Gianluca Mager - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
27.09.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Steven Diez - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?WWW
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
08.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gianluca Mager	1:2

Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide