Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 5, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Maxim Mrva		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.4	1.59
	2.23	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.21)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
40.6%

Eliakim Coulibaly
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Maxim Mrva aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Eliakim Coulibaly aligns with the current prediction.

Maxim Mrva - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coulibaly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 452. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 305.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Coulibaly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxim Mrva - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Dominik Recek	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Jan Wygona	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Karol Filar	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

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