Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MODENA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.6	1.47
	2.67	1.5
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.24)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
36.7%

Maks Kasnikowski
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: Maks Kasnikowski will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bailly is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kasnikowski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kasnikowski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kasnikowski will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.23	Tim Handel - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Dennis Novak - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
26.06.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Daniel Dutra da Silva	Kasnikowski M. walkover ✺
25.06.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Henri Laaksonen	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLWL

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide