Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.09	1.75	Watch
	2.19	1.76
	2.12	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.89)	1.75 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
45.3%

Karen Khachanov
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Khachanov will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 31. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 21.

Mpetshi Perricard in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Khachanov is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mpetshi Perricard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
27.10.24	Ben Shelton - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
ATP Vienna
27.10.24	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Matteo Berrettini - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?LWW

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