Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Karen Khachanov		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.31	1.62
	2.46	1.51	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.66	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
41.1%

Alex De Minaur
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 42.9%). De Minaur (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 14. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

In recent matches, Khachanov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Minaur is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Khachanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

De Minaur will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled ✺
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
16.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
25.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
26.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Dubai
22.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP US Open
05.09.20	Alex De Minaur - Karen Khachanov	3:2

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