Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Alexander Weis		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.80	1.90
	1.71	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
52.4%

Andrey Chepelev
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Weis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 624., and Chepelev is ranked ATP: 379..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Alexander Weis - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Alexander Weis - Mykyta Mashtakov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Stefano DAgostino - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

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