Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 9 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alexander Weis		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.20
	1.65	2.10
	1.6	2.18	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.59	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)	2.2 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
58%

Andrey Chepelev
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Weis's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Weis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Weis - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 624., and Chepelev is ranked ATP: 379..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Alexander Weis - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Alexander Weis - Mykyta Mashtakov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Stefano DAgostino - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Michiel De Krom - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Alexander Weis - Andrey Chepelev

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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