Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Giuseppe La Vela		Daniil Ostapenkov

	1	2
	1.57	2.26
	1.63	2.31
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giuseppe La Vela
59.3%

Daniil Ostapenkov
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Giuseppe La Vela - Daniil Ostapenkov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. La Vela will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ostapenkov will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

La Vela is ranked ATP: 521. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 689.

La Vela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ostapenkov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ostapenkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

La Vela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giuseppe La Vela
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Nikita Belozertsev	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Philip Henning	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Max Houkes - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Niccolo Catini - Giuseppe La Vela	Catini N. Retired ✺
01.04.26	Gian Marco Ortenzi - Giuseppe La Vela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWW?W
- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Maxim Shin - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Giuseppe La Vela - Daniil Ostapenkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide