Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PORTO (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: PORTO (PORTUGAL) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Goncalo Oliveira		Luca Nardi

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Goncalo Oliveira
45%

Luca Nardi
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goncalo Oliveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oliveira will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Oliveira is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nardi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goncalo Oliveira
ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Cem Ilkel - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Guillaume Dalmasso	2:1 ✺
21.07.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Julio Cesar Porras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Nicolas Mejia - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.23	Flavio Cobolli - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.23	Hugo Dellien - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Richard Gasquet - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

Goncalo Oliveira - Luca Nardi