The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alex Barrena 42.6%
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 57.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
60.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Alex Barrena - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Barrena is ranked ATP: 220., and Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 270..
Barrena has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Pucinelli De Almeida have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Barrena in today's match, at odds of 2.02.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Barrena has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Alex Barrena - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.