Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.89	2
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
51.7%

Lautaro Midon
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 211. Midon is ranked ATP: 223.

Recent performances by Bueno have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Midon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bueno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Hernan Casanova	Casanova H. Retired ✺
09.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?WWLL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Jose Pereira	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon	1:2
ITF Tournaments
29.09.23	Lautaro Midon - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2

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