Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Lautaro Midon		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.65
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.95)	1.57 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
40.4%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Varillas will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midon: 84.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lautaro Midon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 223. Varillas is ranked ATP: 286.

Midon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Varillas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Varillas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Jose Pereira	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Bruno Fernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Victor Braga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0
15.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:1

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