Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2022, Thursday


	Gonzalo Lama		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.22
	4.35	1.2
	4.2	1.22
	4.46	1.21
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.21	Watch
	4.1	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.76)	1.21 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Lama
22.6%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Lama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gonzalo Lama's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gonzalo Lama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Gonzalo Lama - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lama in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Varillas Patino-Samudio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lama won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Lama
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Damian Wenger - Gonzalo Lama	0:2 ✺
16.11.22	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Matias Franco Descotte	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W?WWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Eduardo Ribeiro - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Federico Coria - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
03.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
02.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.10.17	Gonzalo Lama - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
07.10.15	Gonzalo Lama - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0

Gonzalo Lama - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide