Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lima 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.68	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.64	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
53.4%

Gonzalo Villanueva
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: Gonzalo Villanueva will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gonzalo Villanueva will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 448. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 352.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ambrogi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Benjamin Torrealba	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.10.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Gonzalo Villanueva