Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lima 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Alex Barrena

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Gonzalo Villanueva
33.7%

Alex Barrena
66.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Villanueva is ranked ATP: 352. Barrena is ranked ATP: 172.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Villanueva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrena might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villanueva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Alex Barrena - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Canceled ✺
28.09.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLL?L

ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0
29.09.24	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2

Gonzalo Villanueva - Alex Barrena